Northern lights in Lake Erie Beach, NY
Unlikely
Activity would need to be a little stronger than forecast. Camera sensors sometimes pick up a faint glow.
- Max Kp forecast tonight
- 3.3
- Kp needed for the horizon
- 4.3
- Kp needed overhead
- 7.2
Kp forecast for Lake Erie Beach
Quiet Active (Kp 4) Storm (Kp 5+) Strong storm (Kp 7+) · Faded bars are predictions. Times in local time.
Can you see the northern lights from Lake Erie Beach?
Lake Erie Beach is at about 52° geomagnetic latitude. Aurora can appear low over the northern horizon when the Kp index reaches about 4.3, and overhead from about Kp 7.2. That means active conditions or stronger.
For the best chance, wait until it is fully dark, leave the town lights behind and face north with a clear, low view of the horizon. Displays often come in bursts of 10 to 30 minutes, so stay out for a while. Your phone's night mode may show colour before your eyes do.
Kp data: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated 15 Nov 21:55 UTC. The outlook uses a centred-dipole geomagnetic latitude and a rule of thumb for the edge of the auroral oval. Real displays vary, so treat it as a guide. Sources and methods.